Tuesday, July 8, 2008

The Current Cooling Trend

Updated on 3/17/10 to include winter 2010 data.

Each of the following charts can be replicated by visiting this NOAA page and selecting the corresponding time frame and “Period” (either “Winter” or “Annual”).

Climate alarmist James Hansen & his Goddard Groupies have long argued that - according to their computer models - Man Made Global Warming is, by far, most evident in northern hemisphere winter warming. So, why has the United States been in a dramatic winter cooling trend ever since 1998?

Domestically, consistent with that 2001 paper, the period from 1962 to 2000
showed a winter warming trend of 0.96F per decade:
Click the image to enlarge
Click the image to enlarge

Of course, that 2001 paper made no mention of the
1954 to 1979 domestic winter cooling trend of -0.99F per decade:
Click the image to enlarge
Click the image to enlarge

Today, Hansen and the Goddard Groupies are even more loath to mention
the 1998 to 2010 domestic winter cooling trend of -3.15F per decade.
Click the image to enlarge it
Click the image to enlarge

In fact, despite all the alarmist propaganda,
there has been ZERO domestic winter warming in the last 23 years.
Click the image to enlarge it
Click the image to enlarge

For the annualized period 1998 to 2009,
the continental USA has been in a cooling trend of -1.03F per decade.
Click the image to enlarge it
Click the image to enlarge


Furthermore, directly quoting recent peer reviewed science:
“Our results suggest that global surface temperature may not increase over the next decade.”
My bet is we will see a continued and possibly accelerating cooling trend for considerably longer than “the next decade”.

Click the image for a global perspective:
Click the image for a global perspective

Click this image for another global perspective:
Click this image for another global perspective



According to Professor Bob Carter:
“In one of the more expensive ironies of history, the expenditure [of tax dollars] of more than $US50 billion ($60 billion) on research into global warming since 1990 has failed to demonstrate any human-caused climate trend, let alone a dangerous one.”
Okay, I’m not sure where Professor Carter got that “$US50 billion” figure. But, where else do you think all this research money comes from? ExxonMobil?

In the same essay, Professor Carter also notes:
“Not only do humans not dominate Earth's current temperature trend but the likelihood is that further large sums of public money are shortly going to be committed to, theoretically, combat warming when cooling is the more likely short-term climatic eventuality.”
Obviously, the data from NOAA back him up (even as the climate alarmists attempt, in vain, to tar and feather him).

There is, without doubt, a monetary incentive for climate scientists to come down on one side of the Climate Change debate. And, clearly, the overwhelming monetary incentive is to pimp for Man Made Global Warming.

Those scientists who dare to challenge the cultist orthodoxy with solid, peer reviewed scientific evidence are greeted, not with any financial incentive, but with fascist like attempts to silence all who dare to challenge the cultist orthodoxy:



Click here for more on the current cooling trend.
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1 comment:

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