Tuesday, January 4, 2011

Peeking behind the CAGW alarmist 'True Lies'

Click here for a recent example of CAGW alarmist “true lies” (wherein a CAGW alarmist presents evidence of a linear warming trend apparent in the RSS satellite dataset).

True lies? Yep.

The “true” part relates to the citation of the RSS satellite dataset. Peer reviewed science has demonstrated the IPCC surface temperature data to be wildly unreliable. Therefore, it is encouraging to see the citation of the far more reliable RSS satellite data.

The “lies” (by omission) result from:

1) The failure to provide proper CONTEXT to the RSS data. You see, the RSS data spans January 1979 through today. And, the slight warming trend apparent in that data directly coincides with the 1979 to 1998 AMO warming cycle. That warming cycle plateaued in 1998. Coincidentally (or not) the alarmists at NOAA admit that:
“The trend in the ENSO-related component for 1999–2008 is +0.08±0.07°C decade, fully accounting for the overall observed trend. The trend after removing ENSO (the "ENSO-adjusted" trend) is 0.00°±0.05°C decade.”
2) The failure to note that the 2010 El Niño induced warming is OVER and global temperatures are now back to the statistically flat trend of the last 15 years.

(At least the alarmists at NOAA are honest enough to remove the El Niño induced noise from their presentation of the significance of the data.)

3) The bottom has recently dropped out of the Sea Surface Temperatures.

My prediction, substantiated in my AMO post, calls for a continuation of an essentially flat temperature trend through 2018 followed by about 30 years of substantial global cooling (at which point the climate charlatans will -- once again -- tell us we will all freeze to death unless big government steps in to save us).

So, the next time a purely political propagandist tries to present you with an Oz-like climate magic show, pull back the curtain and take a look at the charlatan hiding behind the curtain of “true lies”.

Click here for some basic climate change science.
Click here to debunk the hysteria topic by topic.

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